What will happen? The US Q2 Gross Domestic Product will be announced at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3) on Thursday, July 29…
All attention to EUR after ECB rate statement
The European central bank will publish the main refinancing rate and make a statement on Thursday, July 16, at 14:45 MT time. Also, the ECB’s press conference will be later at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, EUR/CAD, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, EUR/NZD, EUR/AUD, EUR/CHF
The main refinancing rate is likely to stay unchanged. Instead of that, traders should focus on the ECB statement and the press conference. It’s expected that the ECB will boost its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) with an additional 1 trillion euros. Economists consider that the central bank will increase the PEPP to reach the target rate of inflation at nearly 2%. It will prove that officials shift their focus from the short term to the medium term goal – from mitigating crisis to supporting economic recovery. Pay attention on economic guidelines that officials will give. It’s really important as it will define the future movement of the Euro.
If the ECB leaves everything unchanged and gives pessimistic forecasts, the EUR may fall.
If the ECB increases the size of PEPP and gives optimistic forecasts, the EUR can rise.
Today the Fed will make a policy statement at 21:00 GMT+3. This event will affect all the currency pairs with the USD and thus almost the all Forex market!
Hong Kong stock index extended a decline sparked by China’s tech crackdown. Tesla posted better-than-expected results. Jump in!
What events to follow and how to trade during the week of July 2-6?
EUR/USD retraced to 1.1870 after breaking out this level. It should be just a natural sell-off ahead of the further rally up.
The Fed held a much-awaited meeting yesterday. The bank hasn’t made any policy changes. As a result, the USD weakened and EUR/USD rocketed. Jump in to know all the latest news!