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The European central bank will publish the main refinancing rate and make a statement on Thursday, July 16, at 14:45 MT time. Also, the ECB’s press conference will be later at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, EUR/CAD, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, EUR/NZD, EUR/AUD, EUR/CHF
The main refinancing rate is likely to stay unchanged. Instead of that, traders should focus on the ECB statement and the press conference. It’s expected that the ECB will boost its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) with an additional 1 trillion euros. Economists consider that the central bank will increase the PEPP to reach the target rate of inflation at nearly 2%. It will prove that officials shift their focus from the short term to the medium term goal – from mitigating crisis to supporting economic recovery. Pay attention on economic guidelines that officials will give. It’s really important as it will define the future movement of the Euro.
If the ECB leaves everything unchanged and gives pessimistic forecasts, the EUR may fall.
If the ECB increases the size of PEPP and gives optimistic forecasts, the EUR can rise.
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The US will reveal Non-farm payrolls on January 7, Friday, at 15:30 GMT+2 (MetaTrader time).
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will announce the updated Unemployment Rate and Employment Change data on Thursday, May 19, at 04:30 MT.
The UK Office for National Statistics will publish Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday, May 18, at 09:00 MT.
The US Census Bureau will announce Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales on Tuesday, May 17 at 15:30 MT.
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