The US dollar turned to the upside on Monday. Let's discuss what to expect next from the market.
American inflation data will drive the USD.
The US will release the levels of CPI and core CPI at 14:30 MT time.
CPI is an important indicator, which accounts for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the Fed to raise interest rates. Last month CPI remained flat, which was lower than the analysts’ expectations. As for the core level of CPI (measure that excludes food and energy process), it came out in line with the forecast. If this time the figures are higher, than the expectations, the USD will get positive momentum.
• If the indicators are higher than the forecast, the USD will rise;
• If the indicators are lower than the forecast, the USD will fall.
Three main drivers of the market: the stimulus package, the US presidential election and the coronavirus. Let's look how market reacts.
The USA will publish unemployment claims on October 22 at 15:30 MT time. How to trade after the release?
The focus of traders’ attention shifted from Brexit and the US stimulus to the coronavirus . The WHO claimed that Europe become the new Covid-19 epicenter.
Canada will publish the monthly GDP growth on October 30 at 14:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank publishes the monetary policy statement alongside with an update on the interest rate on October 29, at 14:45 MT time.