The overall market sentiment is risk-on. The S&P 500 index (US 500) is getting close to the all-time high. Oil is recovering quickly from its recent losses.
American inflation data will drive the USD.
The US will release the levels of CPI and core CPI at 14:30 MT time.
CPI is an important indicator, which accounts for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the Fed to raise interest rates. Last month CPI remained flat, which was lower than the analysts’ expectations. As for the core level of CPI (measure that excludes food and energy process), it came out in line with the forecast. If this time the figures are higher, than the expectations, the USD will get positive momentum.
• If the indicators are higher than the forecast, the USD will rise;
• If the indicators are lower than the forecast, the USD will fall.
Today the Fed will make a policy statement at 21:00 GMT+3. This event will affect all the currency pairs with the USD and thus almost the all Forex market!
What will happen? The FOMC statement will be published at 21:00 MT (GMT+3) on Wednesday, July 28…
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