Last week was very interesting for the markets, as we saw the releases of the US Inflation and Disney’s earnings report. So let's see what we should await this week!
American small business confidence tumbles to two-year minimum
In January, American small business optimism inched down to its lowest value since Donald Trump's election over two years ago against the backdrop of soaring uncertainty over the economic outlook.
On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business uncovered that last month its Small Business Optimism Index headed south by 3.2 points ending up with 101.2. It appears to be the weakest outcome since November 2016.
The index managed to rally after Trump's electoral win, spurred by his administration's $1.5 trillion tax trim package as well as deregulation policy. It has slumped for five months in a row since reaching an all-time maximum last August, although it’s still high by historic standards.
Apparently, the index mirrored other confidence polls that weakened steeply in January.
As some financial analysts pointed out, they’re assured that the evident boost to the survey data from increased partisanship since the 2016 election campaign is beginning to fade away.
The National Federation of Independent Business added that its uncertainty index managed to head north by 7 points hitting 86 in January, which appears to be the fifth highest outcome in the poll’s 45-year history. The jump in uncertainty actually concurred with the longest shutdown of the US federal government in history.
The 35-day shutdown concluded on January 25 after US leader and the US legislative body made up their mind to temporarily finance the country’s government, without funds for his US-Mexico border wall.
In addition to this, the NFIB stressed that there’s more buzz about recession challenges. The organization added that small business owners are concerned about future sales surge, some weakness in business conditions later in 2019, not to mention some deterioration in conditions.
The United States will publish the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Minutes on November 24, at 21:00 GMT+2.
Hong Kong’s HK 50 index rose and the Chinese yuan edged up as traders assess the outcome of the first virtual meeting between US President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping.
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.