Last week was very interesting for the markets, as we saw the releases of the US Inflation and Disney’s earnings report. So let's see what we should await this week!
American weekly jobless claims head south
The previous week, the total number of US citizens who filed for unemployment benefits suddenly shrank. It actually drops a hint at firm labor market conditions notwithstanding signs that job surge was speeding down.
Other Thursday’s data revealed an improvement in worker productivity for the fourth quarter. Nevertheless, the trend was still sluggish. In the last quarter, labor costs kept soaring at a moderate tempo, suggesting benign inflation pressures, which back the Fed’s quite patient approach as for further interest rate lifts in 2019.
As for initial claims for state unemployment benefits, they went down by 3,000 to a seasonally updated 223,000 by March 2, as the Labor Department uncovered. Market experts had hoped claims would be intact showing 225,000 in the latest week.
A common gauge of labor market trends, the four-week moving average of initial claims headed south by 3,000 ending up with 226,250 the previous week, thus demonstrating the lowest value in February.
The major US financial institution told that contacts posted labor shortages were restraining employment surge in some areas.
The tempo of job surge remains more than enough to keep suppressing the unemployment rate. In February, non-farm payrolls tacked on by 180,000 jobs having ascended by 304,000 in January.
By the way, the unemployment rate is expected to dive 0.10% in February.
As for the evergreen buck, it managed to extend its profit following the publication of the data on Thursday while American stocks stood still. Additionally, US Treasuries headed north.
Furthermore, the Labor Department informed that non-farm productivity managed to rally at a 1.9% annualized rate for the last quarter.
However, data for the third quarter was updated downwards to demonstrate productivity soaring at a tempo of 1.8% versus the previously posted 2.2% rate.
The United States will publish the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Minutes on November 24, at 21:00 GMT+2.
Hong Kong’s HK 50 index rose and the Chinese yuan edged up as traders assess the outcome of the first virtual meeting between US President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping.
As Europe moves into recession, next week may provide us with some amazing trading opportunities. Here they are!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.