Morgan Stanley analytics forecast the economy will return to pre-crisis levels by the fourth quarter. Here’s why.
British employees face the strongest surge in basic pay for a decade
British employees are facing their basic wages leap at the fastest tempo for almost a decade over the summer months, thus underpinning the Bank of England's opinion that a long period of weak pay hikes is coming to its end.
Earnings without bonuses managed to surge by an annual 3.1% for the three months to August. That’s what the Office for National Statistics uncovered on Tuesday.
It beat all estimates in a Reuters interview of market experts.
With bonuses, total earnings headed north by 2.7% for the period, which is a bit above the survey’s median estimate of 2.6%.
Andy Haldane, the Bank of England's leading economist, told the previous week that he spotted indications of another dawn for UK wage surge.
Financial analysts have been puzzled why the country’s wages were tacking on so slowly even against the backdrop of diving unemployment.
Pay surge for British employees speeded down to 0.5% in 2014. Notwithstanding the recent improvement it still stays below the 4% hikes, which were the normal thing before the global financial downtime.
The unemployment rate stayed at its four-decade minimum of about 4% for the three months to August.
However, the overall number of folks in work went down by nearly 5,000, which is the first dive for almost a year. The Reuters survey of market experts had predicted a leap of 11,000.
UK households - whose spending appears to be the key driver of Britain’s economy - have struggled for much of the last decade as compared to inflation their wages soared more slowly.
Wednesday’s data is anticipated to demonstrate the country’s consumer price inflation kept to 2.6% in September, which is below a maximum of 3.1% in November 2017, although still providing mild improvement in spending power for employees.
Traders are waiting for the Fed statement at 21:00 MT time. The market reaction depends on how far their expectations will meet the Jerome Powell’s speech.
Today is the big day! Investors are waiting for NFP at 15:30 MT time.
The US NFP will be published on August 7 at 15:30 MT time.
The market sentiment is indeed risk-on today. Stocks, riskier currencies and gold are rising amid the waning US dollar.
Follow the BOE monetary policy and rate statements on August 6 at 14:00 MT time…