Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
Can AUD surprise in March?
What will happen?
The Reserve Bank of Australia will release the cash rate and make a rate statement on March 1, at 05:30 MT time. This release influences the AUD movement and all pairs that include this currency. The cash rate is charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries. It’s the key instrument of the central bank’s monetary policy. The Reserve Bank of Australia reviews the cash rate on the first Tuesday of the month, except January.
Possible Aussie Dollar moves
Since November 2020, the cash rate has been steady at 0.1% and hasn’t done any surprising movements, as experts expected. Therefore, we most likely shouldn’t expect any hawkish changes in the Australian interest rate. Moreover, this month the continent had no bad news that could influence the rate crucially.
On February 1, 2022, due to the persistency of the Australian interest rate, the last release positively impacted AUD. After the release, the AUD/USD pair boosted approximately by 1130 points.
How to trade on the Australian Cash Rate Release?
If the actual rate is higher than forecasted, it’s better for the currency.
As we can see from the latest releases, the currency shows a positive tendency, even if the rate is stable. However, at the same time, we’re waiting for statement that can bring some unpredictable policy of the cash rate.
Check Economic Calendar.
Instruments to trade: AUD/USD, AUD/CHF, AUD/NZD, AUD/JPY
Now traders follow the economic events with new vision as inflation in the US seems like decreasing. Let’s see what releases will influence the market due to that factor.
The week will have the biggest event in the US political process over the last two years. How will the elections affect the Forex market? We covered the most important news of this week in this report.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
2022 was rough: inflation, energy crisis, and plenty of other controversial situations…