The first days of May suggest the month will be risk-off for the GBP/USD. Here is why.
Chinese Yuan goes down notwithstanding firm factory polls
On Monday, the Chinese Yuan headed south in Asia notwithstanding a sudden improvement in China’s factory activity.
As a matter of fact, the currency pair USD/CNY hit 6.7054, decreasing by about 0.1%.
In March, the Caixin/Markit PMI came up with 50.8, which appears to be higher than the anticipated 49.9. Released on Sunday, the official PMI also tacked on, gaining 50.5 from February’s outcome of 49.2, thus becoming the first expansion for four months.
An outcome below 50 stands for contraction. On the contrary, a result above that level points to expansion.
The positive data raised investor sentiment and also pushed Chinese shares up by over 2.5%. However, the Chinese Yuan slumped a bit.
Besides this, gauging the greenback’s purchasing potential versus its primary peers the USD index slipped by 0.14% coming up with 96.713. The evergreen buck has been diving since Friday after data disclosed that American consumer spending barely rallied in January.
In January, consumer spending, accounting for more than two-thirds of American economic activity, tacked on by 0.1% after a 0.6% slump in December, which appears to be its first dive since September 2016.
Market participants are going to closely watch Friday’s American government employment report for March, with wage growth figures likely to attract attention after the US major financial institution excluded the probability of any rate lifts in 2019.
Additionally, financial markets will also receive an update on American retail sales as well as manufacturing activity.
On the China-US trade front, China’s Vice Premier Liu He will go to Washington this week with the aim of meeting with US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer as well as Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin for more trade negotiations.
The currency pair USD/JPY rallied by 0.2% reaching 111.03.
UK Prime Minister was placed in the intensive care. As a result, the British pound plummeted dramatically today.
The head of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell will testify on the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report on Tuesday and Wednesday
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.