Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
Currency market on December 5
Thursday's start has been quite eventful. The great pound's surge has been highlighting the day, while oil traders are cautiously awaiting the OPEC meeting. Read more about the main market movers below.
Disappointing economic data pulled the AUD down
While the level of retail sales showed a slowdown versus the expected advance by 0.3%, the Australian exports declined from 6.49 to 4.5 billion AUD. On H4, the Australian dollar has kicked off the resistance at 0.6848 and fell below the 200-period MA to the 0.6831 level. The price is trying to form the “Double top” pattern with the neckline at 0.6821. As soon as this level is broken, bears will be ready to move the aussie towards the lower target at 0.6810. The upside momentum is limited by the 0.6848 and 0.6855 levels.
The British pound has continued its bullish momentum
Today we’ve already explained what is going on with the British pound. You can read more about it here. On H4, GBP/USD continues to move up to May’s peak at 1.3170. If bulls manage to successfully break this level, the next resistance will be placed at 1.3220. In case of the reversal, watch at the supports at 1.3082 and 1.3050.
USD/MXN: More downside is possible
USD/MXN took advantage of the weak USD. On the 4-hour chart, the pair slid below the 50-period MA yesterday. Today, it has already tested the 100-period MA, which serves as strong support at 19.4270. In case of a breakout, we may expect further fall towards the 19.36 level. However, a stochastic oscillator formed a crossover in the oversold zone and RSI is looking up. That is why we may expect a short-term correction to 19.48 and 19.53.
The first week of November promises to be eventful, as we have the Fed meeting, the BOE update, and the NFP release. Read more details here.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.