It will be the hottest week of September, with four central banks’ meetings, five PMI releases, and a lot to trade.
EU trade relief with Trump improves German business morale
In August, German business morale managed to improve for the first time in 2018 because a trade relief between the European bloc and America made company executives less anxious regarding a transatlantic trade conflict.
On Monday, the Ifo economic institute told that its monitored business climate index tacked on to 103.8, surpassing July's outcome of 101.7 as well as a Reuters consensus estimate of 101.9.
Last month Donald Trump agreed to postpone slapping duties on EU vehicles, while the two sides negotiate to reduce other duties.
The August outcome turned out to be the highest since February. It marked the most impressive monthly improvement since December 2014.
The German economy is currently firm enough, with economic surge of 0.5% in the third quarter.
Apparently, German businesses were generally satisfied with today’s situation and their expectations were updated upwards.
Additionally, the key support came from construction and service. However, business sentiment soared a bit in retailing and manufacturing.
According to August's IHS Markit sentiment poll, carried out among purchasing managers, the private sector managed to speed up, underpinned by firm services activity.
The firm domestic situation was also outperforming uncertainty provoked by the UK’s scheduled exit from the European bloc as well as the Turkish lira downtime.
In the April-June the German economy inched up by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, backed by state spending, private consumption, and construction.
However, a larger-scale trade conflict between China and America could also impact Germany due to the fact that a great number of German manufacturers rely on surge in the world's two leading economies.
The German economy was braced for proceeding with its balancing act between the upbeat effects of the ECB’s loose monetary policy as well as a lack of new structural reforms and also between trade frictions and firm domestic demand.
ECB is ready to take the decision about the key rate. What to expect from officials? Oil prices are high, and economy indicators demonstrate the slowing down in the strongest European economies.
The Fed is going to take a decision about the interest rate. This is the crucial news for the following week. What's going on in the markets and what to expect?
US stock markets started falling, while the US dollar is rising. What to expect from
Oil prices are rising and Russia banned the export of its petrol. What's happening in the markets?
Today's main event for the markets is the FOMC Interest Rate Decision, where the US regulator is widely expected to keep the interest rate at the same level of 5.5%.