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EU trade relief with Trump improves German business morale
In August, German business morale managed to improve for the first time in 2018 because a trade relief between the European bloc and America made company executives less anxious regarding a transatlantic trade conflict.
On Monday, the Ifo economic institute told that its monitored business climate index tacked on to 103.8, surpassing July's outcome of 101.7 as well as a Reuters consensus estimate of 101.9.
Last month Donald Trump agreed to postpone slapping duties on EU vehicles, while the two sides negotiate to reduce other duties.
The August outcome turned out to be the highest since February. It marked the most impressive monthly improvement since December 2014.
The German economy is currently firm enough, with economic surge of 0.5% in the third quarter.
Apparently, German businesses were generally satisfied with today’s situation and their expectations were updated upwards.
Additionally, the key support came from construction and service. However, business sentiment soared a bit in retailing and manufacturing.
According to August's IHS Markit sentiment poll, carried out among purchasing managers, the private sector managed to speed up, underpinned by firm services activity.
The firm domestic situation was also outperforming uncertainty provoked by the UK’s scheduled exit from the European bloc as well as the Turkish lira downtime.
In the April-June the German economy inched up by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, backed by state spending, private consumption, and construction.
However, a larger-scale trade conflict between China and America could also impact Germany due to the fact that a great number of German manufacturers rely on surge in the world's two leading economies.
The German economy was braced for proceeding with its balancing act between the upbeat effects of the ECB’s loose monetary policy as well as a lack of new structural reforms and also between trade frictions and firm domestic demand.
All attention on the market is on the Brexit process. Fears over the no-deal Brexit pushed the British pound deep down yesterday after UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson claimed he was ready to abandon negotiations.
The market sentiment is mixed, and the US dollar is trading near the lowest levels for over two years. Let’s have a look at the main market movements today.
S&P 500 skyrocketed to the all-time high on optimism that Biden’s fiscal stimulus will support economic growth and boost corporate earnings.
PMI reports from the EU, the UK, and the USA will be released during the day!
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.