Geopolitical News Influence Markets
Russian-Ukrainian conflict is influencing every economic aspect…
EUR/USD is in focus ahead of US inflation and ECB
Latest news
- Biden canceled bans on TikTok and WeChat, imposed by Trump. He ordered an investigation of the apps from foreign adversaries to check a possible security risk.
- The US inflation will come out today at 15:30 GMT+3. Traders can’t wait to see the numbers as they will shed the light on when the Fed might start talking about tapering asset purchases. It will impact hugely EUR/USD.
- The ECB will make a policy statement at 14:45 GMT+3. The optimistic tone of the bank will support the euro, while the cautious or uncertain tone may press the euro down.
- Bitcoin recovered some losses due to El Salvador’s President, who allowed to use the BTC as a legal tender.
Technical outlook
EUR/USD is moving inside the descending channel. If it manages to cross the lows of early June at 1.2160, it may fall to the 200-period moving average of 1.2145. On the flip side, the move above the 50-period moving average of 1.2185 will open the doors up to yesterday’s high of 1.2200.
Gold has started the day on the back foot as the USD strengthened. If it drops below Monday’s low of $1885, it may fall to the low of June 4 at $1870. In the opposite scenario, the move above the psychological mark of $1900 will push the pair to the next resistance level of $1910. The long-term trend is bullish, and since gold tends to stick to its long-term trend, we would expect gold to rise in the long run.
Brent oil (XBR/USD) dropped but was supported by the lower trend line at $71.50. The way to $72.00 is open now. If the price manages to cross it, the way up to yesterday’s high of $72.50 will be open. Support levels are the 50-period moving average of $71.00 and Tuesday’s low of $70.50.
USD/JPY is edging higher inside the ascending channel. The move above the high of May 28 at 109.80 will open the doors to the high of June 4 at 110.30. On the flip side, if it drops below the lower trend line at 109.15, the pair may fall to the low of May 24 at 108.65.
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Latest news
The US NFP: What’s New?
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will announce average hourly earnings, nonfarm employment change (NFP), and the unemployment rate on July 8, at 15:30 MT time.
What Are FOMC Insights?
The Federal Open Market Committee, a committee within the Federal Reserve, will reveal a detailed record of the central bank’s last meeting on July 6 at 21:00 MT.
Will Australian Cash Rate Change?
The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its cash rate and make a statement about future rate policy on Tuesday, July 5, at 07:30 MT.
