How Energy Crisis Affects German PMI August 23, 2022, 10:30 GMT+3 Germany will publish Flash Manufacturing PMI data on Tuesday, August 23, at 10:30 MT time (GMT+3)…
EUR/USD regains yesterday's losses
The US dollar surged yesterday after the positive US data. Manufacturing and Services PMI reports came out better than expected. Besides, analysts marked that it was the first time for a while that the US dollar rose not because of its safe-haven title in times of the risk-off sentiment, but on its self-strength like any other national currency, when its’ economic data beats estimates. Before that, the greenback was on the back foot as investors favored riskier assets amid hopes for soon vaccinations in the USA and the UK.
That’s why yesterday we have seen a 100-pips drop of EUR/USD, caused by the mixed EU PMI reports and the encouraging US data. However, the 50-period moving average has supported the pair again. If it manages to rise above yesterday’s high of 1.1876. the doors towards the key resistance zone of 1.1890-1.1900 will be open. In the opposite scenario, the move below the support of 1.1830 will drive the pair lower to 1.1800.
The British pound continues edging higher amid hopes for a soon Brexit agreement. EU’s chief negotiator Michel Barnier claimed that even though some disputes are still on the table, both sides are interested in reaching a deal as soon as possible. It dipped briefly yesterday but managed to turn to the upside again. The move above the resistance of 1.3350 will drive the pair to the key psychological mark of 1.3400. Support levels are at yesterday’s low of 1.3300 and the 50-period moving average of 1.3235.
Gold enormously dipped. There are no barriers on its way down to the key support of the intersection of the 200-day moving average and the psychological mark of $1 800. XAU/USD is likely to bounce off this level and turn to the upside. It may meet resistance levels at $1 850 and $ 1870 on the way up.
Moving on to the S&P 500. The stock index is edging higher. If it jumps above the resistance of 3 615, the way to the high of November 16 at 3 630 will be open. In the opposite scenario, the move below the 50-period moving average of 3 575 will drive the S&P 500 to the next support of 3 550.
Finally, let’s discuss crude oil. WTI oil surged to August’s highs on hopes for a vaccine rollout in a couple of weeks. If it manages to close above $43.50, it may rise to $45.00. Support levels are $41.60 and $40.00.
Follow US CB Consumer Confidence at 17:00 MT time!
Last week was full of surprises! The US dollar plunged despite a better-than-expected retail sales report…
Last week was very interesting for the markets, as we saw the releases of the US Inflation and Disney’s earnings report. So let's see what we should await this week!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.