Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Euro and pound demonstrate multi-week minimums as greenback is still firm
On Thursday, the common currency and the UK pound headed south to multi-week minimums versus the firmer greenback because dismal economic data out of the euro zone as well as fears over Brexit put pressure on market sentiment.
Eventually, the currency pair EUR/USD tumbled by 0.1% concluding the trading session at 1.1249, which appears to be the weakest outcome since mid-November. It occurred because of data disclosing that Germany’s GDP stood still in the fourth quarter, following a 0.2% tumble in the previous quarter.
It means the euro zone’s leading economy successfully dodged a technical recession, although it hasn’t managed to expand since June. In fact, the data underlines hopes that the ECB will still be highly accommodative in 2019.
Demand for the US currency persisted after data indicating sustained strength in core American inflation.
While headline American inflation demonstrated its weakest tempo for 1-1/2-years in January, investors closely watched the core price indicator that was soaring for the third month in a row, backing the evergreen buck.
Earlier this year the evergreen buck was impacted by the Fed’s shift to a cautious policy stance. Nevertheless, the latest data hinted that the US major financial institution will require staying vigilant on pricing pressures even as it adjusts to increased surge risks.
The UK currency was on the back foot. The currency pair GBP/USD dipped by 0.14% ending up with a one-month minimum of 1.2824 ahead of a parliamentary vote later in the day on British Prime Minister Theresa May's plan for a deal with the European bloc on the terms of its departure from it. The United Kingdom is expected to depart from the European Union on March 29.
Versus the Japanese yen the evergreen buck was intact, with USD/JPY showing 111.03.
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Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.