Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Evergreen buck soars on stronger-than-anticipated GDP
On Monday, the evergreen buck surged a bit and hovered near a two-month peak on a stronger-than-anticipated third-quarter GDP report.
Estimating the purchasing power of the evergreen buck against a pack of its primary counterparts the USD index added 0.08% being worth 96.24.
As the Commerce Department informed on Friday, the American economy surged at a 3.5% annualized rate, thus surpassing hopes for 3.3%.
Additionally, trade clashes between China and America as well as rate policies by the key US financial institution were cited as tailwind for the evergreen buck for recent months commonly considered to be a safe-haven asset in hard times.
In addition to this, the Chinese Yuan lost versus the US counterpart. The currency pair USD/CNY pair managed to rally by 0.1% showing 6.9544. China’s key bank had CNY 120 billion drained from the market as on Monday it was caught skipping open market operations. The PBOC had the Yuan midpoint rate raided by up to 133 pips bringing it to 6.9377 in contrast with Friday's reading of 6.9510.
Besides this, central bank meetings in Japan and Britain are anticipated to be closely watched. They are broadly considered to stay intact on their current policy stance.
Citing a poll, Bloomberg informed that experts are assured that the Bank of Japan’s inflation estimates are going to be mostly intact, and they also don’t expect Japan’s key financial institution to take extra action to back the national economy when the sales tax is ramped up next year.
The vast majority of financial experts guess the bank’s first tightening measure would be a lift of the 10-year yield rate.
Additionally, the currency pairs AUD/USD and NZD/USD both rallied by 0.1%.
As for the Japanese yen, which is another safe-haven asset, it was nearly intact on Monday. The currency pair USD/JPY added 0.01% hitting 111.92.
Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.