The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
Fed Meeting & Press Conference
|The Federal Reserve raised interest rates during its last two December meetings – in 2015 and 2016. This December should be no exception to this trend. The US central bank has been preparing the market for this move for a while.|
|The last time the Fed changed the federal funds rate was in June 2017. That time it raised the rate to 1.25%. The odds of another rate hike in December exceed 90%.|
|The rate statement at 21:00 MT time will be followed by a press conference at 21:30 MT time. The US dollar will likely stay volatile during these events in all currency pairs, especially in USD/JPY and EUR/USD.|
The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make a statement and release a Cash Rate on February 7, 05:30 GMT+2. It's among the primary tools the RBA uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.