Trading EUR: await news from the ECB
The ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts will be released at 14:30 MT on January 16
Federal Reserve spurs rates by quarter point
On Wednesday, the primary US financial institution had interest rates ramped up by a quarter point, although pivoted towards a more gradual rate-lift cycle due to the fact the American economy is anticipated to speed down.
The US major bank had the fed funds rate lifted 25 basis points. Now it’s within a band 2.25%-2.5%.
The Fed verdict, while anticipated, wasn’t appreciated by the stock market that had been soaring steeply into the decision, probably betting that a last-minute update of the monetary policy was on the cards.
The major US bank stressed that it’s assured that some further gradual hikes in the target band for the federal funds rate is about to be in line with ongoing expansion of economic activity, sound labor market conditions, to say nothing of the Fed’s 2% goal over the medium term.
Members of the rate-setting committee had their 2019 median estimate for interest rates reduced from a previous estimate of 3.1% to 2.9%, hinting at two rate lifts next year. It appears to be below the three rate lifts specified in the Fed's September projections earlier.
By the way, as for the interest-rate outlook for both 2020 and 2021, it was diminished from 3.4% to 3.1%, hinting at one rate lift that year.
As for the longer run interest rate, it was also reduced from 3% to 2.8%.
The American economy is anticipated to surge by approximately 2.3% next year, down from the previous outcome of 2.5%, and also by 2% in 2020.
Meanwhile, the tempo of inflation is predicted to speed down to 2%, diving from the previous reading of 2.1%.
The fresh outcome of the core PCE index accounted for 1.8%, which is a bit below the Fed’s 2% objective.
As for the unemployment rate, it’s anticipated to amount to 3.5% next year.
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Important events this week will bring us
We expect the US-China phase one trade deal to be signed on Wednesday and multiple important indicators for the USD. Plus, it is the first week of the earnings reports
Trading GBP on the news
The British yearly CPI will be released at 11:30 MT on January 15
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On Thursday, January 16 two central banks: the Reserve bank of South Africa and the Turkish Central Bank will make their interest rate decisions.
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