Market Crash Incoming?
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
Federal Reserve spurs rates by quarter point
On Wednesday, the primary US financial institution had interest rates ramped up by a quarter point, although pivoted towards a more gradual rate-lift cycle due to the fact the American economy is anticipated to speed down.
The US major bank had the fed funds rate lifted 25 basis points. Now it’s within a band 2.25%-2.5%.
The Fed verdict, while anticipated, wasn’t appreciated by the stock market that had been soaring steeply into the decision, probably betting that a last-minute update of the monetary policy was on the cards.
The major US bank stressed that it’s assured that some further gradual hikes in the target band for the federal funds rate is about to be in line with ongoing expansion of economic activity, sound labor market conditions, to say nothing of the Fed’s 2% goal over the medium term.
Members of the rate-setting committee had their 2019 median estimate for interest rates reduced from a previous estimate of 3.1% to 2.9%, hinting at two rate lifts next year. It appears to be below the three rate lifts specified in the Fed's September projections earlier.
By the way, as for the interest-rate outlook for both 2020 and 2021, it was diminished from 3.4% to 3.1%, hinting at one rate lift that year.
As for the longer run interest rate, it was also reduced from 3% to 2.8%.
The American economy is anticipated to surge by approximately 2.3% next year, down from the previous outcome of 2.5%, and also by 2% in 2020.
Meanwhile, the tempo of inflation is predicted to speed down to 2%, diving from the previous reading of 2.1%.
The fresh outcome of the core PCE index accounted for 1.8%, which is a bit below the Fed’s 2% objective.
As for the unemployment rate, it’s anticipated to amount to 3.5% next year.
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FED and BOE Make Another Attempt to Beat Inflation
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
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