Market outlook for this week
Jump in to know the key market events and trading ideas for this week!
Federal Reserve spurs rates by quarter point
On Wednesday, the primary US financial institution had interest rates ramped up by a quarter point, although pivoted towards a more gradual rate-lift cycle due to the fact the American economy is anticipated to speed down.
The US major bank had the fed funds rate lifted 25 basis points. Now it’s within a band 2.25%-2.5%.
The Fed verdict, while anticipated, wasn’t appreciated by the stock market that had been soaring steeply into the decision, probably betting that a last-minute update of the monetary policy was on the cards.
The major US bank stressed that it’s assured that some further gradual hikes in the target band for the federal funds rate is about to be in line with ongoing expansion of economic activity, sound labor market conditions, to say nothing of the Fed’s 2% goal over the medium term.
Members of the rate-setting committee had their 2019 median estimate for interest rates reduced from a previous estimate of 3.1% to 2.9%, hinting at two rate lifts next year. It appears to be below the three rate lifts specified in the Fed's September projections earlier.
By the way, as for the interest-rate outlook for both 2020 and 2021, it was diminished from 3.4% to 3.1%, hinting at one rate lift that year.
As for the longer run interest rate, it was also reduced from 3% to 2.8%.
The American economy is anticipated to surge by approximately 2.3% next year, down from the previous outcome of 2.5%, and also by 2% in 2020.
Meanwhile, the tempo of inflation is predicted to speed down to 2%, diving from the previous reading of 2.1%.
The fresh outcome of the core PCE index accounted for 1.8%, which is a bit below the Fed’s 2% objective.
As for the unemployment rate, it’s anticipated to amount to 3.5% next year.
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US earnings in January 2021: what you need to know
We are now past the middle of January, and this means that the largest US companies will report their earnings for the fourth quarter and many of them will provide the results of the entire 2020.
Hooray! It’s NFP day!
The US NFP report will come out on January 8 at 15:30 MT time.
Latest news
Stocks up, USD down
S&P 500 skyrocketed to the all-time high on optimism that Biden’s fiscal stimulus will support economic growth and boost corporate earnings.
Lots and lots of PMIs on Friday
PMI reports from the EU, the UK, and the USA will be released during the day!
ECB report is in focus
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
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