The Fed can start tapering already this November, oil is rallying pushing the Canadian dollar up! Jump in to know more!
Fed’s Powell will report to Congress
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on June 16 at 17:00 MT time begins the first of two days of testimony. It is a really important event for traders as the prospect for the economic recovery will volatile markets.
What is the Powell’s testimony?
It is a report to Congress. His speech consists of 2 parts. The first one is the prepared statement. The second one is a question and answer session. Traders are interested more in the last one as Powell doesn’t know questions before and he may unveil some unscripted moments that add fresh market movements. This time the main focus will be on how fast the Fed thinks the USA will recover and what measures the Fed will offer to support economy.
What to expect?
Analysts widely anticipate the upcoming Fed’s message will echo the pessimistic outlook Jerome Powell gave last week. After that negative prospect the market sentiment hugely deteriorated. It may happen again today. Today’s meeting even becomes a political issue. Democrats are pushing for further fiscal stimulus, while Republicans are against it as the US May jobs report was encouraging. Jerome Powell doesn’t want to enter the political fight. That’s why it’s more intriguing today to watch which side will be right.
What does it mean for a trader?
If the tone of Powell’s speech is dire and prospects are grim, safe-haven assets such as USD and gold will gain.
Otherwise, if Jerome Powell is optimistic (what’s less possible), stocks and riskier currencies will rise.
That day has come, guys! The Fed will hold a meeting at 21:00 GMT+3. It can be a highly impactful event. The markets expect the bank to hint about the timing of tapering.
A selloff in stocks stopped. S&P 500 has reversed up from the 100-day moving average. It should be the perfect time to buy the index.
Commodities (iron ore, oil) and commodity-linked currencies (AUD, CAD) surged. West Texas Intermediate has reached $75 a barrel, while Brent rose to the highest mark since October 2018.
Although Jerome Powell’s speech sounded hawkish on Wednesday, September 22, markets did not get scared and the main stock indices got bought back…
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