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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on June 16 at 17:00 MT time begins the first of two days of testimony. It is a really important event for traders as the prospect for the economic recovery will volatile markets.
It is a report to Congress. His speech consists of 2 parts. The first one is the prepared statement. The second one is a question and answer session. Traders are interested more in the last one as Powell doesn’t know questions before and he may unveil some unscripted moments that add fresh market movements. This time the main focus will be on how fast the Fed thinks the USA will recover and what measures the Fed will offer to support economy.
Analysts widely anticipate the upcoming Fed’s message will echo the pessimistic outlook Jerome Powell gave last week. After that negative prospect the market sentiment hugely deteriorated. It may happen again today. Today’s meeting even becomes a political issue. Democrats are pushing for further fiscal stimulus, while Republicans are against it as the US May jobs report was encouraging. Jerome Powell doesn’t want to enter the political fight. That’s why it’s more intriguing today to watch which side will be right.
If the tone of Powell’s speech is dire and prospects are grim, safe-haven assets such as USD and gold will gain.
Otherwise, if Jerome Powell is optimistic (what’s less possible), stocks and riskier currencies will rise.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify today at 19:05 MT time. This event is crucial for traders as the tone of the speech may set the risk tone for the markets for the next two weeks.
Non-farm payrolls, the most awaited economic report, will be out on March 5 at 15:30 MT time.
Australian GDP rose by 3.1%, exceeding analysts’ forecasts of 2.5%. The Australian dollar climbed after the release, but then joined its peers in falling against the USD.
Saudi Aramco site was hit by missiles on Sunday - no damage to oil supply was taken, but investor fear drove the price into the upside. Time to trade the cooling off then!
Great news for oil bulls! OPEC and its allied producers agreed to expand output cuts for the next month.
The USD skyrocketed after Fed Powell’s speech. OPEC and allied producers agreed to extend production cuts for another month. Oil surged.
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