The market takes breath after the long rally. What opportunities do traders have today?
Fewest bonds since downtime in 2018/19 will be sold by Great Britain
The UK authorities are going to sell the fewest bonds since the financial downtime in 2018/19, probably worth less than 100b pounds, as a Reuters survey of primary dealers uncovered on Monday.
The outcomes emerged a day before Philip Hammond, finance minister rolled out a half-yearly update on the public finances. He told he would keep to a plan with the aim of cutting the country's relatively high debt levels.
The country’s budget deficit has probably declined to approximately 2% of annual economic output by March 31 that would be its lowest outcome since 2002 and versus 2010 it lost 10%, when most government departments started reducing spending.
In 2018/19, the United Kingdom’s on the verge of issuing approximately 100.7 billion pounds versus the Debt Management Office's remit of about 115.1b pounds in the current financial year. That’s what the median prediction in the survey of 15 primary dealers revealed.
Estimates varied from 107.5 billion to 90.2 billion pounds. As seven primary dealers suggested, 2018/19 gilt issuance would be under 100 billion pounds. Such an outcome would be first since 2007/08.
Public sector net borrowing for 2018/19 is generally expected to decline to 33.3 billion pounds versus an estimate of 39.5 billion revealed in November by the Office for Budget Responsibility. In cash terms, it would be the lowest result since 2002/03.
Primary dealers appear to be financial institutions, which purchase gilts right from the UK government for the purpose of selling them on, thus assisting in creating a liquid market.
The country’s overall public sector net debt without state-owned financial institutions, although with temporary Bank of England lending to the banking sphere – managed to total approximately 1.74 trillion pounds in January, which is 84% of GDP as well as more than double its value before the downtime.
The United States will publish a weekly update on unemployment claims on July 9, at 15:30 MT time.
The market sentiment deteriorated amid increasing virus cases in the USA and Australia. Investors prefer safe-haven assets like gold, the US dollar and the Japanese yen.
Riskier currencies and stocks are in favor of investors. Surprisingly, gold rallies too. Let’s have a closer look.
Congratulations! Gold has just opened a new era... or, rather, reopened...
Canada will publish the employment change and the unemployment rate on July 10, at 15:30 MT time.