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A great number of investors actually don’t expect Germany’s economy to revive quickly from a poor patch in the nearer future. That’s what the ZEW research institute uncovered on Tuesday. What’s more, the organization added that its monthly poll drew attention to rather a dismal third quarter.
Huge worries as for tough ongoing trade clashes, the danger of a disorderly Brexit, not to mention political uncertainty at home are definitely putting enormous pressure on the European Union’s number one economy that is currently in its ninth year of surge.
In addition to this, the poll disclosed that economic sentiment among market participants in the European bloc’s leading economy managed to ascend da bit to -24.1 in November in contrast with October’s outcome of -24.7. On the contrary, a Reuters consensus estimate amounted to -25.0.
However, investors' evaluation of the German economy's current conditions headed south to about 58.2 from October’s result of 70.1, which is in turn below a Reuters consensus estimate of 65.0.
ZEW told that the poll actually reflected recent figures for retail sales, industrial output as well as foreign trade in Germany and also hinted at poor surge in the third quarter. Furthermore, it drew attention to the fact that hopes for the next six months don’t show any improvement.
Well, it simply means that survey participants don’t expect to see a fast revival of the currently weak development of the German. That’s what ZEW President, Achim Wambach revealed in a statement.
The previous week, a number of economic advisors for the German cabinet had surge estimates for this year slashed to 1.6% from a previous forecast of 2.3% and also for next year to nearly 1.5% in contrast with an earlier estimate of about 1.8%.
Commodities (iron ore, oil) and commodity-linked currencies (AUD, CAD) surged. West Texas Intermediate has reached $75 a barrel, while Brent rose to the highest mark since October 2018.
Germany, the leading economy in the Euro Zone, will reveal one of the key economic indicators – German Ifo Business Climate on September 24 at 11:00 MT time.
The European Central Bank will make its policy statement on July 22 at 14:45 MT (GMT+3).
The bullish movement in the stock market is gaining speed, and Bitcoin ETFs are closer than they might seem. What do we need to know for the next trading week?
The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
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