For a long time, traders considered American Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) the most important release in the market. However, the situation has changed. Now US CPI moves financial markets.
Gold surges to fresh 9-month maximums
On Tuesday, gold managed to rally because traders awaited the publication of the minutes from the recent Fed policy gathering with hopes for them to confirm the major financial institution’s dovish policy stance.
On the Comex exchange, April delivery gold futures managed to jump by up to 1.38% concluding the trading marathon at $1,340.25 a troy ounce, which is its best value since May 14.
The major US bank is expected to uncover the minutes of its January 30 gathering when it left interest rates intact and promised to be patient with further interest rate lifts, dropping its guidance that further gradual rate lifts will be required.
The US major financial institution also told it could change the tempo of its balance sheet reduction.
As some financial experts pointed out, Fed policymakers are actually coming to a compromise having reversed their course 180 degrees.
What’s more, so-called quantitative tightening that Fed Chair Jerome Powell is used to mentioning as ‘balance sheet runoff’, isn’t on autopilot any longer.
In fact, the dovish shift in tone to the US major bank’s message suggests a longer pause in rate lifts that in turn diminishes the opportunity cost of holding non-interest bearing yellow metal.
As for other metals, palladium futures managed to tack on due to the fact that forecasts that demand will head north in 2019 as stricter emissions standards ramp up demand for the metal used in catalytic converters. Eventually, this commodity inched by up to 3.24% being worth $1,452.75 an ounce, which appears to be a fresh record maximum.
Combined with with supply-side issues, the market will be in rather a sizeable deficit in 2019 and potential for better-than-anticipated demand from China will have that tightness exacerbated, as some experts stressed.
United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release monthly average hourly earnings, non-farm employment change (NFP), and unemployment rate on November 5, 14:30 GMT+2.
United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release monthly average hourly earnings, non-farm employment change (NFP), and unemployment rate on October 8, 15:30 GMT+3.
Oil prices are rising and Russia banned the export of its petrol. What's happening in the markets?
Today's main event for the markets is the FOMC Interest Rate Decision, where the US regulator is widely expected to keep the interest rate at the same level of 5.5%.
In today's market insights, we delve into Citibank's oil price predictions, the evolving competition between Huawei and Apple, the Saudi Arabia-Tesla partnership, and the upcoming rate decisions from the world's major central banks.