The main bank of Russian will likely turn hawkish today. Time to sell USD/RUB?
High chances of a rate cut by the RBA
The Reserve bank of Australia will release the rate statement and announce the update on the interest rate on February 4, at 5:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, AUD/CHF, AUD/NZD
The market expects the RBA to cut its interest rate from 0.75% to 0.5% during the February meeting. What may drive the central bank to do so? Firstly, it is the inflation rate. Despite an upbeat CPI released last week, the level remains below the RBA target. Thus, the bank may need to take accommodative measures. At the same time, the unemployment level remains pretty high at 5.1%. Let's not forget other risks including bushfires in Australia and coronavirus. Both of them are proven to have a great impact on the economy. That is why the Australian regulator may take some serious steps to support the economy of the country. As a rule, the shift towards more easing will weaken the Australian dollar.
• If the RBA cuts its interest rate, the AUD will fall;
• If the RBA keeps the interest rate unchanged, the AUD will rise.
As Europe moves into recession, next week may provide us with some amazing trading opportunities. Here they are!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.