Home prices could head south in some smaller Chinese cities next year

Home prices could head south in some smaller Chinese cities next year

In 2019, home prices in some smaller Chinese cities could inch down due to the fact that the world's number two economy speeds down, while the Chinese cabinet is anticipated to step in to withstand any precipitous dive.

Nationwide surge in the Asian country’s property prices has slumped in 2018 reacting to measures to tame speculation. However, a lot of investors are still making use of regulatory loopholes. They turn to smaller as well as less restrictive cities.

A broad decelerating in the Chinese economy might further impact the sector, which appears to be a crucial surge driver. As for property sales by floor area, they’ve been diving month-on-month, although they’re still higher in 2018 in contrast with last year.

Homebuilders will probably experience more difficult market conditions next year, with decelerating economic surge as well as deteriorating sentiment suppressing sales volumes along with home-price gains.

In an attempt to stimulate prices, property developers have tried to manipulate them, deliberately delaying sales to back prices. Other measures included illegally giving loans for downpayment and publishing fake price information.

However, the rating agency told that the downturn will probably be muted, and the country’s cabinet is capable of easing policies to back the market.

Sales volumes might go down 10%, following low-single-digit profit this year, with dives expected to be the strongest in lower-tier cities.

Smaller Chinese cities are going to be most impacted by the decreasing monetized resettlement of shanty-town inhabitants.

By the way, shanty-town redevelopment has underpinned property demand because residents utilize cash compensation to purchase a new home in case existing ones get demolished.

For this year, the market could expand up to 2% demonstrating a record 1.7 billion square meters.

The country’s home prices have ascended 42 months in a row.  

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Market updates on August 15

The risk sentiment remains under pressure after the comments by China about the countermeasures against the US tariffs. Thus, the AUD/USD and the USD/JPY pairs will be under our attention.

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