The US dollar has surged to levels unseen since April after the Fed's decision back on Wednesday. Gold has reversed up from the local dips. Still, this week was the worst for gold in more than a year.
It’s NFP day!
NFP will be out on Friday at 15:30 MT time! Are you ready?
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
The last NFP report showed that 661 000 people found news jobs in September of 2020, which was below market expectations of 850 000. Still, the labor market is recovering from the coronavirus slump but the pace is slower than anticipated. More than 22 million jobs were lost amid the coronavirus outbreak, but only half has been yet recovered. Anyway, the market reaction will depend on whether actual numbers exceed market estimates or not. Pay attention that NFP comes out in combination with average hourly earnings m/m and unemployment rate.
- If all the three indicators come out better than the forecasts, the USD will rise.
- If all the indicators are worse than the forecasts, the USD will drop.
- If NFP comes better, but earnings – worse, the USD will spike at first, but it will fall with the second wave.
The Fed made a hawkish surprise! The bank would start a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. Besides, it is likely to make two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 (sooner than expected)!
The Federal Reserve will release its statement and announce its interest rate decision at 21:00 MT time. Then, at 21:30 MT time, the central bank will hold a press conference.
Wednesday will please traders as many economic indicators will be out! The USA, UK, and Euro Area will release PMI reports on June 23 from 10:15 to 16:45 MT.
The Bank of England will release its statement and announce its monetary policy decision at 14:00 MT.
Last week the USD soared versus other major currencies, while gold headed for the biggest weekly loss in 15 months. Let’s see what new moves await us this week!