Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify today at 19:05 MT time. This event is crucial for traders as the tone of the speech may set the risk tone for the markets for the next two weeks.
It’s NFP day!
NFP will be out on Friday at 15:30 MT time! Are you ready?
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
The last NFP report showed that 661 000 people found news jobs in September of 2020, which was below market expectations of 850 000. Still, the labor market is recovering from the coronavirus slump but the pace is slower than anticipated. More than 22 million jobs were lost amid the coronavirus outbreak, but only half has been yet recovered. Anyway, the market reaction will depend on whether actual numbers exceed market estimates or not. Pay attention that NFP comes out in combination with average hourly earnings m/m and unemployment rate.
- If all the three indicators come out better than the forecasts, the USD will rise.
- If all the indicators are worse than the forecasts, the USD will drop.
- If NFP comes better, but earnings – worse, the USD will spike at first, but it will fall with the second wave.
Non-farm payrolls, the most awaited economic report, will be out on March 5 at 15:30 MT time.
Australian GDP rose by 3.1%, exceeding analysts’ forecasts of 2.5%. The Australian dollar climbed after the release, but then joined its peers in falling against the USD.
Great news for oil bulls! OPEC and its allied producers agreed to expand output cuts for the next month.
The USD skyrocketed after Fed Powell’s speech. OPEC and allied producers agreed to extend production cuts for another month. Oil surged.
The European Central Bank publishes its monetary policy statement that includes an announcement of the interest rate on March 11, at 14:45 MT time.