This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
It’s NFP day!
NFP will be out on Friday at 15:30 MT time! Are you ready?
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
The last NFP report showed that 661 000 people found news jobs in September of 2020, which was below market expectations of 850 000. Still, the labor market is recovering from the coronavirus slump but the pace is slower than anticipated. More than 22 million jobs were lost amid the coronavirus outbreak, but only half has been yet recovered. Anyway, the market reaction will depend on whether actual numbers exceed market estimates or not. Pay attention that NFP comes out in combination with average hourly earnings m/m and unemployment rate.
- If all the three indicators come out better than the forecasts, the USD will rise.
- If all the indicators are worse than the forecasts, the USD will drop.
- If NFP comes better, but earnings – worse, the USD will spike at first, but it will fall with the second wave.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
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