The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
Japanese exports go up
Flourishing sales of electronics and vehicles enabled Japan to demonstrate a 14th straight month of surge in January, although manufacturers' business confidence slumped due to fears of the soaring Japanese yen, which heavily affects an export-led recovery in this Asian country.
The trade data emerged following the Reuters Tankan poll, which figured out that the country’s manufacturers' confidence went down abruptly in February, thus indicating global stock market turmoil and also the Japanese currency, which undermines business sentiment.
Such variable gauges actually underscore the whole challenge faced by the Bank of Japan's top management, including newly-reappointed chief Haruhiko Kuroda as well as two fresh deputies because they work on stimulating the Japanese economy, so it could break up with decades of stagnation.
The relatively low mood of Japanese manufacturers in the Tankan poll actually contradicted Ministry of Finance data released on Monday. It showed that in January exports went up 12.2% year-on-year, thus topping the previous month's 9.3% revenue as well as experts’ estimate of a 10.3% jump.
Aside from that Monday's news also followed the previous week’s GDP data, disclosing that the Asian country faced its eighth straight quarter of economic expansion during the period October-December.
A firm currency eats into the country’s industrial revenues and could affect the virtuous cycle of business investment, surge and consumer spending that the Japanese government is hopelessly trying to set in motion.
As manager of a transport equipment maker wrote in the poll, their consolidated revenues have decreased due to a strengthening yen.
Market experts are assured that global demand should keep driving Japanese exports as well as broader economy in the nearer months, despite the ascending yen spoils the outlook.
On Friday, the evergreen buck headed south 0.4% trading at 105.545, which is the lowest value for 15 months.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
Australia will release employment change and an unemployment rate on Thursday, October 14, at 03:30 MT (GMT+3).
The US dollar is heading to close the seventh day in the red as it remains under selling pressure. The US data at 15:30 GMT+3 (jobless claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index) may support the greenback if it's strong.
Canada will publish the Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on October 22, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).