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S&P 500 passed $3200. It’s only $200 left to reach the pre-crisis level and erase all looses. Support levels are $3135 and $3000. David Sowerby, portfolio manager at Ancora Advisors in Cleveland, shared his thoughts: “I don’t think even the most optimistic bullish bull could have anticipated this. The words that comes to mind are epic, monumental.” Indeed, the S&P 500 performance has been unbelievable. It managed to rise for a really short time. Reasons are the encouraging NFP data and the enormous amount of stimulus from the Fed. The strategists at the Bank of America raised its year-end target to 2,900 from 2,600. However, they mentioned long-term risks such as the second coronavirus wave and the US election.
Gold lost its positions with a renewed USD demand on Friday after the NFP report. However, yesterday gold bulls were stronger and the XAU/USD price went above the key resistance level at $1700. Now the price is headed towards the $1750. Support levels are $1680 and $1635.
The US dollar has been loosening against EUR for quite a long time. However, some events changed that. Firstly, better-than-expected NFP on Friday gave a stimulus to USD. Secondly, the weak German data put some pressure on EUR. All together they pushed the pair down. If we look at the chart, we’ll see that EUR/USD is headed towards the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.117. If it crosses it, it may go even deeper to 1.1065. Resistance levels are 1.131 and 1.150. Follow the FOMC statement tomorrow at 9:00 MT time as it will add some fresh volatility.
The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
Happy Wednesday, traders! We went through the Internet and found the best news for you, take a look!
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
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