The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
Main market movements on September 8
The US dollar continues climbing up, while the euro and the pound are dipping. Let’s have a closer look.
- The USD keeps rallying after the upbeat NFP report. Moreover, the upcoming US presidential elections in combination with escalating Sino-American tensions underpinned the safe-haven greenback. Going a bit further, US authorities are planning to impose bans on goods, made of cotton from China’s Xinjiang province. Elsewhere, yesterday the US was thinking of blacklisting China tech firm SMIC, which in turn would put a lot of pressure on China’s technology companies.
- Most analysts have bearish prospects on the euro ahead of the ECB meeting on Thursday. As you might know, the European Central Bank is not satisfied with the appreciated single-currency as it impacts negatively exports. Therefore, the ECB statement is widely expected to be dovish, which should push the euro to the downside. However, today the better-than-expected German Trade Balance added some tailwinds to the EUR. It turned out 18.0 billion euros, while 14.9 billion were expected.
- The possibility of a no-Brexit deal weighs on the British pound. The UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson claimed yesterday the deadline of October 15 to end Brexit talks, but both have been still far away from reaching a compromise. Besides, the UK is going to impose new laws, which will cancel some significant parts of the EU-UK agreement. Talks will continue today. Further prolongation of the Brexit deal will weigh more on the GBP. Stay tuned!
EUR/USD has just bounced off the key support of 1.1800. driven by upbeat economic data. If it manages to cross it, the way towards the next support at the low of August 21 at 1.1770 will be clear. In the opposite scenario, if the pair jumps above the Friday’s high at 1.1860, it may reach the key psychological mark of 1.1900.
S&P 500 has reversed its losses. If the stock index goes above the high of August 25 at 3 445, it will jump higher to the next resistance at 3 480. Otherwise, the move below the key psychological mark of 3 400 will drive the price to the low of August 20 at 3 350.
The British pound has sharply dropped amid the fears of a no-Brexit deal. If it falls below the low of August 25 at 1.3125, it may dip down to the next round number at 1.3050. On contrary, the move above the resistance of 1.3180 will prove the breakout of the descending channel and will drive the price upward to 1.3250.
Finally, let’s talk about gold. It has been still trading inside of the triangle. If it breaks through $1 925, it will be the pivotal point, which will push the yellow metal down to $1 910, Otherwise, the move above $1 950 will drive the price to the upper trendline near the $1 970 level.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.