What events to follow and how to trade during the week of July 2-6?
Market updates on August 21
Key events ahead:
Canadian CPI – 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT) time;
Crude oil inventories – 17:30 MT (14:30 GMT) time;
FOMC meeting minutes – 21:00 MT (18:00 GMT) time.
- USD/CAD has been moving down. The first support for the pair will lie at 1.33. If the Canadian dollar is supported by the higher-than-expected CPI data, the chance of the fall towards the 50-period SMA at 1.3276 on H4 will increase. In case of a weaker figures of CPI, the pair may reverse towards the resistance at 1.3338.
- On the H4, we can see that EUR/USD has been consolidating after the rise above the 1.1088 level. If the FOMC minutes are more dovish than the market expects, the pair will rise higher to the 1.1106-1.1114 levels. In case of a strong US dollar, the pair will fall to the support at 1.1088. The next support will lie at 1.1075.
- The crude oil’s prices are awaiting the time when the level of oil inventories will be published. The price of WTI is currently trading near the 200-period SMA at $56.45 on the 4-hour chart. If this level is broken, the next resistance will lie at $56.72. After that, pay attention to the $56.94 level. If the number of barrels is bigger, that the expectations, the price of WTI will fall towards the support at $55.9. The next support will lie at $55.2 (100-period SMA).
- Brent is testing the highs above the 100-period SMA at $60.4 on the 4-hour chart. If the current resistance is broken, the next key level in bull’s focus will lie at $61.41. From the downside, keep an eye on the support level at $59.53. After the breakout, the further fall will be limited by the 68.91 level.
EUR/USD retraced to 1.1870 after breaking out this level. It should be just a natural sell-off ahead of the further rally up.
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The United States will publish the non-farm employment change, also known as non-farm payrolls or NFP at 15:30 MT (GMT+3) time on August 6.
Our analyst discusses the latest news and shares his trade ideas on gold, EUR/USD, and S&P 500. Jump in!
The Bank of England will publish a monetary policy statement and update on the interest rate on Thursday, at 14:00 MT time.