The Fed can start tapering already this November, oil is rallying pushing the Canadian dollar up! Jump in to know more!
Market updates on November 19
Key events ahead:
Speech by the FOMC member John Williams – 16:00 MT time (14:00 GMT)
- During the Asian trading session, the Reserve bank of Australia released the monetary policy meeting minutes. The record had a dovish tone. The regulator is ready for further easing if needed. The report pulled the aussie down to the support at 0.6784 on H4. The further focus for the pair will be on the updates on the US-China trade deal. On the 4-hour chart, AUD/USD has bounced off the 0.6784 level and has risen towards the 0.6810 resistance level. If this level is broken, the next resistance will lie at 0.6819. If the aussie weakens, we expect the retest of the 0.6784 level. The next support will lie at 0.6776.
- According to the anonymous source, China is still unhappy with the progress over the trade deal with the US. We will continue to follow the situation to determine the moves of USD/JPY. At the moment of writing the pair has been testing the 100-period SMA on H4 at 108.78. The breakout of this level will increase the chance of a retest of the 108.86 handle. If the risk sentiment is on, the pair will rise above the 50-period SMA to the 108.98 level. The downward momentum will be limited by the 108.59 level. Further support levels will lie at 108.51 and 108.42.
- EUR/USD has been trading between the 100-period and 200-period SMA on H4. If the USD gets stronger, the 1.1063 level will be broken and the next support will lie at 1.1054. From the upside, the breakout of the 1.1083 level will push bulls further to the 1.1091 level.
Germany, the leading economy in the Euro Zone, will reveal one of the key economic indicators – German Ifo Business Climate on September 24 at 11:00 MT time.
That day has come, guys! The Fed will hold a meeting at 21:00 GMT+3. It can be a highly impactful event. The markets expect the bank to hint about the timing of tapering.
Commodities (iron ore, oil) and commodity-linked currencies (AUD, CAD) surged. West Texas Intermediate has reached $75 a barrel, while Brent rose to the highest mark since October 2018.
Although Jerome Powell’s speech sounded hawkish on Wednesday, September 22, markets did not get scared and the main stock indices got bought back…
Turkey’s central bank governor was at a crossroads: to hold interest rates and take a risk to be fired like it was for three governors before him, or to comply with the president, to cut rates, and to risk the market. Let’s find out, how to react to the rate cut.