The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
Market updates on November 19
Key events ahead:
Speech by the FOMC member John Williams – 16:00 MT time (14:00 GMT)
- During the Asian trading session, the Reserve bank of Australia released the monetary policy meeting minutes. The record had a dovish tone. The regulator is ready for further easing if needed. The report pulled the aussie down to the support at 0.6784 on H4. The further focus for the pair will be on the updates on the US-China trade deal. On the 4-hour chart, AUD/USD has bounced off the 0.6784 level and has risen towards the 0.6810 resistance level. If this level is broken, the next resistance will lie at 0.6819. If the aussie weakens, we expect the retest of the 0.6784 level. The next support will lie at 0.6776.
- According to the anonymous source, China is still unhappy with the progress over the trade deal with the US. We will continue to follow the situation to determine the moves of USD/JPY. At the moment of writing the pair has been testing the 100-period SMA on H4 at 108.78. The breakout of this level will increase the chance of a retest of the 108.86 handle. If the risk sentiment is on, the pair will rise above the 50-period SMA to the 108.98 level. The downward momentum will be limited by the 108.59 level. Further support levels will lie at 108.51 and 108.42.
- EUR/USD has been trading between the 100-period and 200-period SMA on H4. If the USD gets stronger, the 1.1063 level will be broken and the next support will lie at 1.1054. From the upside, the breakout of the 1.1083 level will push bulls further to the 1.1091 level.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.