How Energy Crisis Affects German PMI August 23, 2022, 10:30 GMT+3 Germany will publish Flash Manufacturing PMI data on Tuesday, August 23, at 10:30 MT time (GMT+3)…
Markets ahead of US inflation data
Here’s what you need to know:
- The US dollar rose from nearly a three-week low on Tuesday, driven by an increase in Treasury yields.
- Today traders await the US inflation data to be out at 15:30 MT. The better-than-expected inflation rate would mean that the US economy is recovering faster than projected. As a result, the USD will surge. If inflation is worse – the USD will drop.
- One of the Fed’s policymakers claimed that when 3/4 of the population are vaccinated, it would signal the close end of the pandemic and push the central bank to consider tapering its bond-buying program. That would push the USD further up.
- Nvidia bit off the piece of Intel’s market. It announced the launch of its first server microprocessors. As a result, Nvidia surged, while Intel dropped.
- Nasdaq and Bitcoin are trading near record highs. The reason is that Coinbase, the leading cryptocurrency exchange in the US, will go public on the Nasdaq index on April 14!
- China’s exports rose by 30% in March from a year earlier as global demand recovers.
If EUR/USD manages to break 1.1925, the way up to the 50-day moving average of 1.1960 will be open. On the flip side, if it crosses the 200-day moving average of 1.1890, it may fall to the low of April 7 at 1.1860. Upcoming US inflation data will define the movement of the pair. Ahead of that, it may move sideways.
Gold has approached the significant support level of $1724. The move below will drive the yellow metal to the key psychological mark of $1700. Besides, the strong USD is likely to press gold down. But if US sales are worse than the forecasts, the dollar will weaken and gold will rise. The move above $1745 will push the pair higher to the key resistance level of $1760.
Dollar, dollar, let’s discuss something different! For instance, EUR/GBP. There is a really interesting situation. The pair was falling from the start of the year but then reversed to the upside last week. Perhaps it’s the beginning of the new trend. Now it’s falling to the 50-period moving average of 0.8630. If may bounce off it and retest the recent high of 0.8690. The move above it will drive the pair up to the high of April 26 at 0.8730.
Last week was full of surprises! The US dollar plunged despite a better-than-expected retail sales report…
Last week was very interesting for the markets, as we saw the releases of the US Inflation and Disney’s earnings report. So let's see what we should await this week!
As Europe moves into recession, next week may provide us with some amazing trading opportunities. Here they are!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.