The market sentiment deteriorated as the new Covid-19 variant engulfed the UK. As a result, riskier assets such as S&P 500, oil, the AUD, the NZD dropped.
OIL: long time no see
We got so used to seeing WTI at the rages of $10-15 its confident march to $23 appears now as something extraordinary. What’s happening?
In short, observers see that the glut is probably at its peak globally and starts to diminish. Supply cuts finally started bringing positive effects. Therefore, what used to be the story of the day for weeks in the oil market, now is seen as a short-term obstacle for oil prices to stabilize at a higher level. Most observers expect that level to be around $40 to $50 per barrel, so if no major problem (such as another US-China confrontation) arises, you may start your strategic preparations to welcome bulls back to the oil market. Long time!
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.