The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
The US CPI is out: will the USD grow?
The US monthly CPI is announced on Tuesday at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
In the current circumstances, the CPI is a direct indicator of the US economic recovery. After a slump to 255.768 in April-May, it has been only increasing throughout the next three months to come to the current 259.681. This level is even higher than the last pre-virus high of 259.05 which is a good sign. Now, the question is whether the US economy will keep the pace of recovery. If it does, it will be taken as a positive sign by the market, and the USD may rise on that. Otherwise, weak consumer price data may indicate a slowdown and send the USD into a bearish phase.
- If the CPI exceeds expectations, the USD will rise.
- Otherwise, the USD will fall.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.