USD’s rally takes a pause, while riskier assets are modestly rising.
Trading EUR: await news from the ECB
The ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts will be released at 14:30 MT on January 16
The interest rate of 0% is out of the question for the ECB in the foreseeable future, as per the latest press releases. The inflation in the Eurozone still hasn’t reached the 2% target and is not expected to do that in the upcoming months. There are more and more forecasts that promise the further slowdown of the European economy. It’s hard to imagine that the Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts will change the picture. However, although the ECB President Christine Lagarde said previously that she is neither a hawk nor a dove, she mentioned that the quantitative easing will continue “as long as necessary”. We may have more clues on that in the document. In turn, more clues mean trade opportunities. If this policy is confirmed, the EUR will experience selling pressure.
- If the document presses on quantitative easing, the EUR will be under pressure;
- If the document is more hawkish than expected, the EUR will turn up.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
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The Canadian central bank will make a monetary policy report and announce interest rates on Wednesday, January 20, at 17:00 MT time. Also, the BOC press conference will be held later.