The oil price looks optimistic. What are the reasons?
US Retail Sales
A change in retail sales is one of the most important economic indicators for the US economy and the USD. The bigger the reading of this indicator, the more American people spent on various products. Consumer spending is a vital piece of data that helps to determine the economic health of a country. Retail sales are the earliest and the broadest gauge of consumer spending data, that’s why investors pay great attention to this indicator. The retail sales figure will be released on July 16 at 15:30 MT time.
The difference between the forecast and the actual data makes the currency move. Up to date, the US dollar has been highly volatile depending on economic data. The retails sales figure won’t be an exception.
• If the data is greater than the forecast, the USD will rise.
• If the data is weaker than the forecast, the USD will go down.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.