During the daily press briefing of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, it was announced that Mexico will receive 1.4 million doses of the vaccine by the end of January. Is that optimistic enough for the peso?
USD: waiting for the reaction of the US purchasing managers
The United States will publish ISM manufacturing PMI on April 1, at 17:00 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF
Purchasing managers' index or PMI is an indicator based on the survey of purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry. It demonstrates businesses' attitudes toward the current market situation. If the indicator is higher 50, it shows the expansion of an industry, while an indicator below 50 signals a contraction. Due to the unstable situation in the US market, the index reached only 50.1 points (vs. 50.5 points expected) last time. It pulled the USD lower in the short-term.
• If the actual level of indicator is higher than the forecasts, the USD will strengthen;
• If the actual level of indicator is lower than the forecasts, the USD will weaken.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.