What will move the market on July 12-16?

Much impactful news will come out this week: US inflation and retail sales, central banks’ statements of New Zealand, Canada, and Japan, Australian labor data, and even China’s GDP! Indeed, that’s a lot! How will this impact various financial assets?

Trade ideas

Forex

The last week’s risk-off sentiment pushed safe havens up (the USD, the CHF, and the JPY), while risky currencies (the AUD, the NZD, the GBP) were pressed down. The upcoming indicators may change the situation. The US inflation on Tuesday will shed a light on whether the Fed may start tightening the policy soon or not. If the Bank of Canada cuts bond buys again on Wednesday, the CAD may recover the losses caused by falling oil prices. NZD/USD awaits the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s decision on Wednesday. The pair has reversed up from the 0.6930 support. The breakout above 0.7000 may open the doors to the next resistance level of 0.7050.

Stocks

S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit all-time highs again! Meanwhile, individual stocks have interesting price movements too. For example, Amazon skyrocketed to a new record after Pentagon decided to divide the $10 billion contract of a cloud-computing deal between Microsoft and Amazon. Apple kept soaring as iPhone 12 became the most successful launch of an Apple lineup since the iPhone 6 in 2014! In addition, the expectations of iPhone 13 in September are boosting the stock price. A break above $145.00 will open the way up to $155.00.

Oil & metals

Oil prices sharply dropped due to the stalemate in OPEC+ talks. If the alliance makes a compromise, the prices may stabilize. Gold had been rallying up for three weeks in a row, but the steam waned by the end of the last week. If the uptrend continues and gold breaks above $1815, it may jump to $1830. The level of $1790 will remain strong support as it lies at the 100-day moving average and the 23.6% Fibonacci level.

Risk warning

The following information is not investment advice. Remember that trading is risky. Manage your funds carefully and remember that you can use Take Profit and Stop Loss orders to maximize your gains and limit your losses.

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cad - canadian dollar

federal reserve

nzd - new zealand dollar

usd

gold

oil

stock

Kseniia Medik

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