The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
Will the GBP be pressed by the PMI results?
The British Flash Manufacturing PMI will be announced on Thursday at 11:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/GBP, GBP/USD, GBP/CAD, GBP/CHF
The Manufacturing PMI as a regular indicator was initiated in 1992 in the UK. Since then, it has never been as low as it was revealed in April. Even against an understandably low expectation of 42.0, the actual figure was 32.6 showing that sometimes the worst-case scenarios get beaten by even harsher reality. Currently, the UK economy is being restarted, but there are a lot of setbacks in this process and a lot of people are confused and disoriented with what to do and what to expect. The second quarter of 2020 is said to be worse than the first one, so that may be priced in the May release of the indicator as well. Resuming, the May Manufacturing PMI may be as low as the April one. However, if it is better than this expectation, the GBP will definitely celebrate it.
- If the Manufacturing PMI comes out stronger than thought, the GBP will rise.
- If the Manufacturing PMI results are weak, the GBP will fall.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.