April seasonal patterns weren’t supposed to work, but somehow they did. Even a strong fundamental issue such as the global recession amid the coronavirus couldn’t overwhelm it. That’s why May seasonal patterns may work as well.
Yen ascends ahead of Japan-US trade negotiations
On Thursday, the Japanese yen rallied to its strongest value versus the evergreen buck for 9 days ahead of the highly anticipated negotiations between Japan and America as well as rumors over when Japan’s main financial institution is going to give up its extremely easy monetary policy.
In addition to this, the New Zealand dollar went down due to the fact its major bank stuck with rather a dovish policy.
While financial markets are still on the edge due to the escalating trade conflict between China and the United States, traders are waiting for the key event scheduled to start on Thursday in Washington. Market participants hope that Japan is going to try averting harsh duties on its auto exports and reject American demands for a bilateral free trade pact.
Japan’s currency has dived nearly 4% versus the evergreen buck for the last six months, driving rumors that its depreciation could turn out to be an issue in the upcoming negotiations because the current US presidential administration has spurred worries over countries knowingly weakening their national currencies.
On Wednesday, the Japanese yen had been backed by the minutes of a July 30-31 BOJ board gathering. The crucial report revealed that one member of the board was eager to allow long-term profits to move in an even wider range than the band indicated by the major financial institution.
Meanwhile, the Australian dollar had tacked on for the past two trading marathons, backed by a recent retreat by China’s currency paused for the time being.
Besides this, the UK currency was nearly intact sticking with $1.2877 after yesterday’s sink to about $1.2854 that happened to be its worst outcome in 2018. However, versus Japan’s currency the UK pound slumped to an 11-month dip of 142.34.
The first days of May suggest the month will be risk-off for the GBP/USD. Here is why.
UK Prime Minister was placed in the intensive care. As a result, the British pound plummeted dramatically today.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.